The big question is how the Almond trees will perform as measured by harvest [yields] now in full swing. As you’ve been following along this crop year you will know that we endured active springtime weather that impacted trees and pollination. An objective statewide consensus believes that production will be slightly less [1%] this season.

What can WE expect? There are several variables that are givens (constants)

• Acreage – 152.48
• Trees – 16,166 (2016) and as per the previous post 15,491 (2017)

and some [2016] historical perspective:

• Yield – 2,019 lbs/acre
• Yield – 19.05 lbs/tree

We could drill down even further. Did you realize that the West block is in competition with the East Block? Soil quality, land grading, or past horticultural practices are likely culprits. The West field consistently underperforms; East Field == Winner!

2017 Best Guess for Estee Strom, LLC:

• 19.5 lbs/tree East Field x 7,914 trees = 154,323 lbs
• 17.3 lbs/tree West Field x 7,577 trees = 131,082 lbs

for a combined total of 285,405 lbs. or 1,872 lbs/acre…